POL (ex-MATIC) statistical analysis — returns, volatility, correlations, and regime metrics compared to Bitcoin and gold on CryptoDash. POL (ex-MATIC) Analysis - CryptoDash
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POL (ex-MATIC) analysis

Active baseline: bitcoin · 90d window

Comparison hierarchy

Macro layer (hard assets) and crypto layer (market beta) for POL (ex-MATIC).

Macro vs gold

ρ -0.026

β -0.048

R² 0.001

View vs gold
Crypto vs bitcoin

ρ 0.532

β 0.746

R² 0.283

View vs bitcoin

Normalized prices

Rebased to 100 at window start

Cumulative return

Percent change from window start

Descriptive statistics

vs bitcoin · 90 daily observations

Correlation (ρ)

0.532

Linear co-movement of daily returns with bitcoin.

Beta (β)

0.746

Return sensitivity to bitcoin. β = 1 moves in step; <1 less amplified; >1 more amplified.

R²

0.283

Share of POL (ex-MATIC)'s daily variation explained by bitcoin (0–1).

Inferential statistics

Two-tailed tests on the selected 90d window — not a forecast.

Correlation p-value: 0.0000 — statistically significant at 95% (historical window only)

95% CI: [0.364, 0.666]

Beta p-value: 0.0000 — statistically significant at 95% (historical window only)

95% CI: [0.494, 0.997]

Regression F-test: F = 34.279, p = 0.0000 — model significant at 95%

Regime independence (2×2 up/down): χ² = 6.929, p = 0.0085 — up/down days not independent at 95%

Variance ratio F-test: F = 1.966, p = 0.0009

Disclaimer: All statistics describe the selected historical window only. They quantify patterns in past daily returns and do not predict future prices, events, or trading outcomes. This is not financial advice.