POL (ex-MATIC) analysis
Active baseline: gold · 90d window
Comparison hierarchy
Macro layer (hard assets) and crypto layer (market beta) for POL (ex-MATIC).
Normalized prices
Rebased to 100 at window start
Cumulative return
Percent change from window start
Descriptive statistics
vs gold · 90 daily observations
Correlation (ρ)
-0.026
Linear co-movement of daily returns with gold.
Beta (β)
-0.048
Return sensitivity to gold. β = 1 moves in step; <1 less amplified; >1 more amplified.
R²
0.001
Share of POL (ex-MATIC)'s daily variation explained by gold (0–1).
Inferential statistics
Two-tailed tests on the selected 90d window — not a forecast.
Correlation p-value: 0.8109 — not statistically significant at 95% in this window
95% CI: [-0.233, 0.183]
Beta p-value: 0.8099 — not statistically significant at 95% in this window
95% CI: [-0.445, 0.349]
Regression F-test: F = 0.058, p = 0.8109 — model not significant at 95%
Regime independence (2×2 up/down): χ² = 0.301, p = 0.5830 — no significant regime linkage at 95%
Variance ratio F-test: F = 3.516, p = 0.0000