Pump.fun statistical analysis — returns, volatility, correlations, and regime metrics compared to Bitcoin and gold on CryptoDash. Pump.fun Analysis - CryptoDash
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Pump.fun analysis

Active baseline: bitcoin · 90d window

Comparison hierarchy

Macro layer (hard assets) and crypto layer (market beta) for Pump.fun.

Macro vs gold

ρ 0.237

β 0.980

R² 0.056

View vs gold
Crypto vs bitcoin

ρ 0.435

β 1.348

R² 0.189

View vs bitcoin

Normalized prices

Rebased to 100 at window start

Cumulative return

Percent change from window start

Descriptive statistics

vs bitcoin · 90 daily observations

Correlation (ρ)

0.435

Linear co-movement of daily returns with bitcoin.

Beta (β)

1.348

Return sensitivity to bitcoin. β = 1 moves in step; <1 less amplified; >1 more amplified.

R²

0.189

Share of Pump.fun's daily variation explained by bitcoin (0–1).

Inferential statistics

Two-tailed tests on the selected 90d window — not a forecast.

Correlation p-value: 0.0000 — statistically significant at 95% (historical window only)

95% CI: [0.249, 0.590]

Beta p-value: 0.0000 — statistically significant at 95% (historical window only)

95% CI: [0.757, 1.939]

Regression F-test: F = 20.301, p = 0.0000 — model significant at 95%

Regime independence (2×2 up/down): χ² = 2.699, p = 0.1004 — no significant regime linkage at 95%

Variance ratio F-test: F = 9.605, p = 1.0000

Disclaimer: All statistics describe the selected historical window only. They quantify patterns in past daily returns and do not predict future prices, events, or trading outcomes. This is not financial advice.