Uniswap analysis
Active baseline: gold · 90d window
Comparison hierarchy
Macro layer (hard assets) and crypto layer (market beta) for Uniswap.
Normalized prices
Rebased to 100 at window start
Cumulative return
Percent change from window start
Descriptive statistics
vs gold · 90 daily observations
Correlation (ρ)
0.085
Linear co-movement of daily returns with gold.
Beta (β)
0.242
Return sensitivity to gold. β = 1 moves in step; <1 less amplified; >1 more amplified.
R²
0.007
Share of Uniswap's daily variation explained by gold (0–1).
Inferential statistics
Two-tailed tests on the selected 90d window — not a forecast.
Correlation p-value: 0.4311 — not statistically significant at 95% in this window
95% CI: [-0.126, 0.288]
Beta p-value: 0.4285 — not statistically significant at 95% in this window
95% CI: [-0.363, 0.848]
Regression F-test: F = 0.626, p = 0.4311 — model not significant at 95%
Regime independence (2×2 up/down): χ² = 0.077, p = 0.7813 — no significant regime linkage at 95%
Variance ratio F-test: F = 8.221, p = 1.0000